{ "cells": [ { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": { "collapsed": true }, "source": [ "# The eye of Agamoto\n", "## Problem Definition\n", "Doctor Stephen Strange is the chief surgeon at the Metropolitan General Hospital in New York. Doctor Strange needs to decide whether to perform surgery or not on a patient with a rare disease. If the patient dies, the hospital must pay a 3M€ compensation, and the cost of the surgery is estimated in 1.5M€. Based on available data, the medical department estimates that the probability of the patient surviving without surgery is 20%, while the probability of the patient surviving with surgery is 75%. Let us use operational research to determine if Doctor Strange should hold the knife:\n", "\n", "**a.** Draw the decision tree to support doctor Strange with this decision problem\n", "\n", "**b.** Solve the decision tree\n", "\n", "**c.** Doctor Strange can use a procedure with a device known as the Eye of Agamoto to get additional information of the result of the surgery, with a cost of 0.5M€. Draw the decision tree incorporating the use of the Eye of Agamoto in the decision problem\n", "\n", "\n" ] } ], "metadata": { "kernelspec": { "display_name": "Python 3", "language": "python", "name": "python3" }, "language_info": { "codemirror_mode": { "name": "ipython", "version": 2 }, "file_extension": ".py", "mimetype": "text/x-python", "name": "python", "nbconvert_exporter": "python", "pygments_lexer": "ipython2", "version": "2.7.6" }, "pycharm": { "stem_cell": { "cell_type": "raw", "source": [], "metadata": { "collapsed": false } } } }, "nbformat": 4, "nbformat_minor": 0 }